Exit polls from Israelâs election show a neck-and-neck race between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his main rival, Gadi Eisenkot, with neither likely to secure a clear path to a governing majority.Tuesdayâs vote was largely seen as a referendum on Netanyahuâs leadership and response to the Hamas-led attacks of October 7, 2023, and the subsequent genocidal war on Gaza.Recommended Stories list of 3 itemslist 1 of 3Lebanonâs lost olive season: harvesting olives under drones and warplaneslist 2 of 3Arab towns in Israel celebrate historic Knesset gains with fireworkslist 3 of 3Smotrich dances in Israel despite far-right declineend of listIt also came as Israelâs pogroms in the occupied West Bank have escalated, and amid mounting tensions with several of its neighbours, many of whom it has attacked in the past three years.Here are five key takeaways from the Israeli elections so far:Exit polls show a dead heat between Netanyahu, rival Eisenkot blocLate-night exit polls from Israelâs Channel 12 broadcaster projected the Netanyahu bloc would win 52 seats in the 120-seat Knesset, or Israeli parliament. Netanyahu was edging out the opposition bloc led by former Israeli military chief of staff Gadi Eisenkotâs Yashar party, which was projected to win 49 seats.Israelâs Channel 13 earlier indicated the two blocs were tied, with each winning 51 seats.Polling indicated that Netanyahuâs Likud party â which leads his wider bloc â could emerge as the single largest party with an estimated 27 seats to 21 for Eisenkotâs Yashar party, according to updated projections from Channels 12 and 13 â giving Likud a clear lead over all others in the parliament.Arab parties were projected to win 19 seats collectively, building on their 2022 performance.Israelis vote for parties, which then form alliances to create a governing coalition with a prime minister at the helm.
No single party has ever won a 61-seat majority.Released by the major Israeli television networks, exit polls are unofficial indicators of the vote. Preliminary official results are expected on Wednesday, and may vary from the exit polls.Leaders react, predict end to Netanyahuâs reignOpposition bloc leader Eisenkot, who was mounting a challenge to Netanyahu, said the Israeli public had voted for change and against the incumbent prime minister.Addressing supporters at his Yashar party headquarters, Eisenkot said âthis will be a new start.
A real new start on a new path. The old era is over, and Israel is starting a new era.âGadi Eisenkot, leader of the Yashar party, waves to supporters in Tel Aviv following the release of the first exit poll results on October 28, 2026 [Baz Ratner/AP Photo]But the Israeli prime minister told supporters that his Likud party is dominant and called for the formation of a ânational right-wing governmentâ.âWhat weâve seen is that the Likud party is the largest party â nobody can compete with us,â he said. âThe second thing that is clear as well is that the right bloc has a majority.
And it is a decisive majority.âHe also accused Israeli television channels of trying to discourage his supporters from voting by projecting stronger results for opposition parties.Israeli far-right Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich told supporters that his party was projected to win seven seats, vowing to continue expansion of Jewish settlements in the occupied West Bank.The far-right National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir praised his Otzma Yehudit partyâs election performance in a speech to supporters at its headquarters.âWe are very proud of our journeyâ, Ben-Gvir said. âThis party was not even existing on the political landscape.âDemocrats leader Yair Golan said on X that Israeli voters had âfired the Netanyahu governmentâ and pledged to work with political partners to form a new administration.Raâam leader Mansour Abbas said he hopes the final election results will let the opposition bloc and his party hold the 61 seats needed to form a government. The party was projected to win around seven seats.Record turnout among votersThe Central Elections Committee reported that 77.7 percent of eligible voters participated in Israelâs election, the highest turnout since 1999.
Turnout was up 7.1 percentage points from 2022, when Netanyahu, who has served as prime minister off and on since 1996, returned to office.Israelâs military said turnout among soldiers had climbed beyond 68 percent by 5pm local time (15:00 GMT). More than 60,000 Israelis also returned home from abroad to take part in the vote.Polling stations closed at 10pm local time (20:00 GMT), but the committee, the countryâs official elections body, said anyone waiting in line at that time would be allowed to vote.Arab parties accuse Netanyahu of inciting hatred to scare votersProminent politicians from Arab-led lists accused Netanyahu of inciting hatred against Palestinian citizens in Israel in an attempt to boost his electoral prospects.Yousef Jabareen, leader of the Joint List, said in a video statement shared on social media on Tuesday that Netanyahu knew that âwe can put an end to his bloody reignâ.Mansour Abbas, leader of the United Arab List, denounced Netanyahuâs comments as a âscare tactic to mobilise right-wing voters and drive them to the pollsâ.In a series of posts on X on Tuesday, Netanyahu attacked Arab voters, describing them as âMuslim Brotherhood supportersâ and accusing them of âraiding the polling stations and stealing the electionsâ.In a separate post, he urged right-wing Israelis to âgo out and vote for Likudâ, referring to his political party and describing the situation as a âmatter of life and death for usâ.What could happen nextAfter the vote is finalised, the parties will immediately begin negotiations to try to reach the 61-seat majority.The bloc with the most votes will have different options to assemble support from smaller parties, including forming a minority government or working with another political leader to alternate as prime minister under a power-sharing arrangement.Once the final count is in, President Isaac Herzog will speak with party leaders about who they want as prime minister, then tap the candidate he believes has the best chance of forming a government.The person nominated then has up to 42 days to form a government.If no government emerges, Netanyahu and his current cabinet will remain as a caretaker government.If negotiations fail and no coalition can form a government, new elections will be called.The final vote tally is expected by Friday, and official election results are formally published a week after the election, on November 4.

